Black Swan Capital LLC
Looking for help in the Currency markets? You found it
Every day we spend countless hours researching the global market economic fundamentals and shaping that research into actionable knowledge to help our Members make money investing and trading in the currency market. Whether you are brand new to currencies, or a seasoned vet; a long-term investor or short-term trader; we have a service to fit your needs.
Learn moreRecommended Brokers
We tested and categorized some of the best brokers by country and costs and types of services.
The brokers listed may have various trade assist programs to help you implement our trading ideas. Be sure to contact them to find what’s right for you.
Also, keep in mind that there is a substantial risk of loss trading in forex and any other currency-related instruments.
Read moreThe Idea
Millions of observations of white swans led to the conclusion: “All swans are white.” The eventual discovery of just one Black Swan invalidated the consensus belief.
This was the elegant analogy philosopher Karl Popper used to define the fallacy of inductive reasoning in his famous 1959 essay, “The Problem of Induction.”
This idea grounds us.
We focus on risk, remain skeptical of the consensus, and do the best we can to inch the odds of success in our favor… each and every trade.
Read moreMethodology
Our approach rests on three areas of analysis: fundamental, technical, and sentiment.
We analyze a great deal of macroeconomic material to develop our underlying story, our trading script. Our objective is to determine the fundamental driving forces behind the movement of exchange rates and global capital and develop plausible alternative scenarios.
We analyze price action over various timeframes using pattern recognition, wave analysis, oscillators, inter-market correlations, retracement levels and standard trend line analysis.
We evaluate sentiment both qualitatively and quantitatively.
In summary, we look for an edge. When we think we’ve found it we act.